Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.277433 0.327631 0.387607 0.465521 0.565523 0.691631 0.866109
2025-01-19 0.202503 0.262148 0.343107 0.464924 0.651005 0.938486 1.448262
2025-01-26 0.164151 0.226885 0.320405 0.478248 0.757310 1.276576 2.465084
2025-02-02 0.140886 0.204864 0.307603 0.498413 0.882368 1.736399 4.312616
2025-02-09 0.123441 0.186792 0.294767 0.511948 1.001634 2.291810 7.533578
2025-02-16 0.110852 0.173538 0.286042 0.529119 1.139186 3.047768 14.035713
2025-02-23 0.100163 0.161267 0.275783 0.538988 1.266717 3.957274 27.052293
2025-03-02 0.091023 0.150058 0.264862 0.543409 1.384641 5.047889 55.496577
2025-03-09 0.082828 0.139245 0.252393 0.539925 1.478938 6.255369 121.242041
2025-03-16 0.075221 0.128436 0.237836 0.526563 1.533770 7.425152 277.224938
2025-03-23 0.071067 0.123801 0.235761 0.546462 1.733121 10.268464 1614.903619
2025-03-30 0.065385 0.115333 0.223544 0.533635 1.791012 12.271446 12137.296593
2025-04-06 0.061553 0.110324 0.218784 0.542979 1.968581 16.713708 NaN
2025-04-13 0.057269 0.103884 0.209615 0.536055 2.066776 21.141760 NaN
2025-04-20 0.054491 0.100346 0.206978 0.550201 2.303006 30.991054 NaN
2025-04-27 0.052385 0.098011 0.206966 0.573870 2.636960 50.559056 NaN
2025-05-04 0.050141 0.095102 0.204968 0.589989 2.955223 82.754486 NaN
2025-05-11 0.048246 0.092767 0.204113 0.610655 3.355933 151.996520 NaN
2025-05-18 0.046206 0.089874 0.201256 0.622567 3.719441 284.257451 NaN
2025-05-25 0.044137 0.086699 0.197119 0.627911 4.047283 553.709972 NaN
2025-06-01 0.041972 0.083091 0.191219 0.623693 4.282274 1066.019160 NaN
2025-06-08 0.039669 0.078955 0.183222 0.607540 4.363683 1827.230744 NaN
2025-06-15 0.038589 0.077702 0.183644 0.631604 5.029876 11867.150935 NaN